Monday 16 November 2015

The A League Round 7 - Melbourne Victory v Central Coast Mariners

The A League reaches round 7 this week and things are starting to heat up a bit. 3 points separate the top six, Adelaide United have yet to win and Besart Berisha is scoring for fun still. We should see plenty of goals this weekend, here are this weekend's fixtures:

19/11/2015

Melbourne Victory (3rd) v Central Coast Mariners (8th)

20/11/2015

Brisbane Roar (1st) v Melbourne City (7th)

21/11/2015

Western Sydney Wanderers (4th) v Wellington Phoenix (6th)
Perth Glory (9th) v Sydney FC (2nd)

22/11/2015

Adelaide United (10th) v Newcastle Jets (5th)

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So let's look ahead to the first match of the weekend...

Melbourne Victory v Central Coast Mariners

The Form

Victory have started the season well and Besart Berisha has 5 in 5 for the pre season favourites. They haven't, however, made the blistering start that many predicted drawing in their first game away to Adelaide and losing to the rejuvenated Newcastles Jets in Round 3. The past couple of weeks they've really found their feet, putting 3 past Phoenix and beating Sydney FC 4-2 last weekend.

They'll be looking to carry on that form this week against a CCM side that haven't set the league alight so far this season. After their opening weekend victory over Glory they lost three in a row, shifting 8 goals in the process. In fact, they haven't been able to keep a clean sheet this season but by the same token have scored in every game this season too.

Predicted Line Ups

Melbourne Victory



Central Coast Mariners



Betting Analysis

Melbourne Victory are given odds of 1.36, the draw is at 4.50 and Central Coast are big outsiders at 9.00. That means are looking at a return of £13.63 if you put £10 on Victory, £45 if you back the draw and a huge £90 if you think Central Coast will win the game. 

That gives the following percentage chances of winning the game

Melbourne Victory - 73.33%
Draw - 22.22%
Central Coast Mariners - 11.11%

I can't really look past Melbourne for this game though and would look at these markets if you are looking for a little more value:

Over 2.5 goals - 1.47 (£10 returns £14.75)
Melbourne Victory AH -1,-1.5 - 1.825 (£10 returns £18.25)
Melbourne Victory to win and both teams to score - 2.60 (£10 returns £26.00)

My bet of the match would be:

Besart Berisha to score anytime and Melbourne Victory to win  - 2.00 (£10 returns £20.00) 

Prediction

Melbourne Victory should wrap up the win pretty easily here and it should be by more than one goal. Central Coast are capable of scoring a goal but I think the defence of Victory should be able to keep them out in this one. 

My prediction would be : Melbourne Victory 3-0 Central Coast Mariners

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